IMF sees region including Pakistan shrinking 1.3pc this year due to Iran war
The IMF expects output in the Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan region to contract 1.3pc in 2026 because of the Iran war, then rebound 6.6pc in 2027.
IMF: 14 The Indus Compass stories. Latest: IMF sees region including Pakistan shrinking 1.3pc this year due to Iran war. Key developments, background and…
14 stories on IMF since 28 September 2026; the latest was published on 22 October 2026.
The IMF expects output in the Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan region to contract 1.3pc in 2026 because of the Iran war, then rebound 6.6pc in 2027.
PM Shehbaz approved a 1% sales tax on battery EVs and lower import duties in the 2026-31 auto policy, with a levy on petrol cars; the IMF must approve first.
IMF director Jihad Azour said Pakistan's fiscal policy must go beyond primary balance targets to fund investment, as Zardari pledged more reforms.
Economic Affairs Minister Ahad Cheema was named incoming chair of the World Bank and IMF Boards of Governors for 2027, Pakistan's first time since 1953.
The IMF projects India's GDP at $4.52 trillion in 2027, ahead of Japan, and warns Gulf economies will not return to their pre-war path soon after the Iran war.
Finance Minister Aurangzeb discussed targeted fuel subsidies with IMF deputy chief Nigel Clarke in Bangkok, and US trade, Reko Diq and minerals with a US envoy.
The IMF raised its forecast for Pakistan's inflation this fiscal year to 9.9pc from 8.4pc and kept growth at 3.5pc, below the government's 4pc target.
Finance Minister Aurangzeb said five or six state firms could be sold this fiscal year for over $1bn, and growth should top 4pc despite high oil prices.
The IMF said AI could add up to a point of growth in ageing Asian economies, as Bill Gates warned of AI cyberattacks and Brad Smith urged regulation.
The IMF reached a staff-level agreement on Pakistan's fourth EFF review and third RSF review, clearing the way for about $1.2bn once its board approves.
The KSE-100 rose 1,610.96 points to 171,211.36 as hopes for Pakistan's IMF review lifted investors, a day after the index slipped below 170,000.
Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb held a kick-off meeting with the IMF mission reviewing Pakistan's $7bn loan, with about $1.2bn at stake by early November.
The Public Procurement Rules 2026 replace the 2004 rules, make the e-PADS system mandatory and add blacklisting and appeals, as IMF talks on $1.2bn continue.